Wednesday, February 23, 2011

With 21 Games to Go

23-Feb-11 @ 07:00

Last night: Canucks lost to the Habs. Or the Habs had more goals when 60 minutes were up. You felt like the Canuck's were going to win given enough time. And the time given wasn't enough. Phily did get an extra 5 minutes of time down to find a win down in Phoenix but wasted that with an OTL to the Coyotes. The twin losses place the Canuck's 1 points up on the Phily Flyers in the crawl to the President's Trophy. The Flyers have one games in hand and one win in hand.

Detroit also lost to the Sharks. The gap for top spot in the West is now 5 points. All three play again on the 24th. Next up for Detroit is the Stars. Next up for the 'Nucks, at Rogers Arena, are the Blues. Phily plays the Islanders.

If the playoffs were to start today we would face the LA Kings Queens in the first round.

We are 16 wins away from the Holly Grail and none of those 16 games will be played before 13-Apr-2011.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Daniel, Henrik or Kesler?

I heard one of the HNIC guys proclaim Daniel is on track for a 50 goal season. General HNIC Rules: Unless it is said by Jim Hughson, don't believe it. Exception to the rule: If it is said by Ron MacLean and it is not about Alex Burrows, believe it. I have some time for Don Cherry and Kelly Hrudey as the embassadors of the game. Elliot Friedman (a jounalist) and PJ Stock (an ex goon player), when his tongue is not all tied up, are creditiable. Mike Milbury, Glen Healy, Garry Galley, Kevin Weeks? Who let these guys on the air? And mystery of all mysteries: Greg Millen! Millen was an alsoran goalie and has dropped in ability as a broadcaster. Rant over back to the post.

Daniel is on track for 44 goals and 105 points. Daniel is currently tops the league in Points (Art Ross Trophy). Ryan Kesler is on track for a team high 45 goals and 77 points. Kesler's career high 33 goals are 7 behind Steven Stamkos' 40 goals (Maurice Richard Trophy). Current Art Ross and Hart Trophy holder Henrik Sedin is on track for 19 goals and 98 points. So does little brother Daniel take over this year as the Art Ross and Hart Throphy holder? Maybe. And as Henrik recently put it "I too would be leading the league in points if I had me passing to me."

As for a 50 goal season. Both Daniel and Kesler need to pick up the pace a little to reach that achievement. An Achievement that has only been reached four times in Cancuks history, thrice by Pasha "Russian Rocket" Bure and once by Alex Mogilny. Bure had 60 in both '92-93 and '93-94 and 51 in '97-98. Mogilny reached the plateau in '95-96 with 55 red lights lit.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Monday, February 21, 2011

Does Number 1 Seed Win the Stanley Cup?

When the regular season is over the league seeds teams based on those results to determine opponents for each of four rounds in the Stanley Cup tournament. Highest ranked teams get lowest ranked opponents in each round.

Here is what the recent history shows us:

YearTeamBeat
2010W2 CHIE7 PHI
2009E4 PITW2 DET
2008W1 DETE2 PIT
2007W2 ANAE4 OTT
2006E2 CARW8 EDM

With the exception of the '07-08 Detroit Red Wings no number one seed has reached the finals never mind won the cup. But look again. Every year the Number 2 seed made it to the cup final. With the exception of the Cinderella, post lock out, Oilers every year since the #1 or #2 seed from the West has played in the finals. Small sample size but 60% of the #2 seeds have won the last 5 cups. Interesting indeed!

Dear Canucks - no President's Trophy please! Get your D-men healthy. Better yet buy one (or two) more just in case. There is so much more at stake here than the moniker of "best of class - Regular Season." Love - your Fans

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Sunday, February 20, 2011

What does it Take to Win the President's Trophy

For the Western Conference we just accept that 95 points will be required to make it to NHL hockey's second season. But how many points does it take to win the Presidents Trophy as warded to the leagues top point getter in the regular season?

History hints at an answer:

YearTeamPointsWon By
2010Washington1218
2009San Jose1171
2008Detroit1157
2007Detroit1130
2006Detroit12411
Average1185.4

When the race is close, if a team scores 114 points or more chances are they win the President's Trophy. Your Canucks are on pace for 116.2 points a using seasonal projection and 115.8 using last 10 games projection. Rounded to 116 points, this total should be good enough to secure the West #1 seed and maybe the President's Trophy. Tomorrow we can examine the history on whether a Number 1 seeding has been advantageous. Do we even want that damn President's Trophy?

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

With 22 Games to Go

20-Feb-11 @ 07:00

Last night: Canucks got a nice 5-2 win over the Dallas Stars. The win allowed the Canuck's to move 4 points up on the idle Phily Flyers in the crawl to the President's Trophy. The Flyers have two games in hand. We are currently tied with 38 wins each.

Detroit had last night off. The gap for top spot in the West is now 7 points. Next up for Detroit is the Wild later today. Next up for the 'Nucks, at Rogers Arena, are the Hab's on 22-Feb-11.

If the playoffs were to start today we would still face the Anaheim Ducklings in the first round.

We are 16 wins away from the Holly Grail and none of those 16 games will be played before 13-Apr-2011.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Who is the Best NHL Referee?

What the players said.

In a 2011 option survey, 15% of players picked a referee named “None” as the best. This could be taken as the glass half full or the glass half empty. Do the players all think that the level of NHL officiating is so consistent that there is little to choose between all referees when attempting to select a best ref? Or was this a slight on the zebras with players sending, in their opinions, the message that the whole crew of them sux?

Of the referees that were named, Kelly Sutherland received the most favourable ranking with the approval rating from 13% of the players responding to the survey. The runners up were Bill McCreary (10%), Wes McCauley (9%) and a tie Tim Peel and Paul Devorski (7%).

Ciao,


Tags: ; ; ;

Saturday, February 19, 2011

A Pretty Good Summary

This piece was written by a journaist named Tim Booth who works for the Washington DC Examiner.

The column concludes:

Of course, the only opportunity to prove that (that is a Canadian Team can win the Cup) will come when the postseason begins in April.

"A lot of guys have been here a long time and realize we haven't done anything until we've won the Stanley Cup," Daniel Sedin said. "That's what it's going to come down to."

Check out Tim Booth's full Canucks story at the Washingtom Examiner: Click Here

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Trade Deadline T-10 Days

19-Feb-11 - Trade Deadline: 10 days

Yesterday - A busy day.

Of note: Kaberle to Boston. Boston continues to load up for a cup run. Avalanche and Senators swap goalies. Elliot for Anderson. Huh?!?

All deals:

Chicago - Recalled D Boris Valabik from Chicago (AHL) and traded him and C Rich Peverley to Boston for F Blake Wheeler and D Mark Stuart. Sent D Paul Postma to Chicago (AHL).

Boston - Acquired D Tomas Kaberle from Toronto exchange a 2011 first-round draft pick, F Joe Colborne and a conditional 2012 second-round draft pick.

Carolina - Acquired D Derek Joslin from San Jose for future considerations.

Avalanche - Acquired G Brian Elliott from the Ottawa Senators for G Craig Anderson.

St. Louis - Traded D Eric Brewer to Tampa Bay for the rights to D Brock Beukeboom and a 2011 third-round draft pick.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Still 23 Games to Go

19-Feb-11 @ 07:00

Last night: Canucks got lucky as the Carolina 'canes beat Phily Flyers allowing the Canuck's to remain 2 points up in the crawl to the President's Trophy. As the Canucks were idle, this event also burnt off one of Phily's games in hand. The Flyers only hold one game in hand and have one more win than the Canucks.

Detroit won last night to close the gap for top spot in the West to 5 points. The 'nucks and Wings face off against each other in a 4 pointer on 23-Mar-11 in Detroit. Should be a good one.

If the playoffs were to start today we would face the Anaheim Ducklings in the first round.

We are 16 wins away from the Holly Grail and none of those 16 games will be played before 13-Apr-2011.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Friday, February 18, 2011

With 23 Games to Go.

18-Feb-11 @ 07:00

Today: we are 7 points up on Detroit for the conference lead. We are 2 points up on Phily, who have two games in hand, for the President's Trophy. The Flyers play tonight so the likelihood of being in sole possession of first place in 24 hours is very low. If the playoff were to start today, we would get Marc Crawford and the Dallas Stars in first round and home ice advantage for as long as we stay alive in the playoffs.

The Canucks still have a mathematical potential to secure 129 points for the season. Mathematically the Canucks can still tie the Detroit Red Wings record of 60 wins in a season. Given the season average pace the Canucks are on track for a 115 point season. With defense corp injuries and a 1 win in 3 tries mini road trip, using the results of the last 10 games to project the season, surpizingly also tracks to 115 points.

We are 16 wins away from the Holly Grail and none of those 16 games will be played before 13-Apr-2011.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

With 25 Games to Go.

15-Feb-11 @ 07:00

Today: we are 7 points up on Detroit for the conference lead. We are 4 points up on Phily, who have two games in hand, for the President's Trophy. If the playoff were to start today, we get the charming Cow Town Flames in first round and home ice advantage for as long as we stay alive in the playoffs.

The Canucks still have a mathematical potential to secure 131 points for the season. No longer can the '10-11 Canucks catch the Canadien's record of 132 points in a season. Mathematically the canucks can still reach the Detroit Red Wings record of 60 wins in a season.

We are 16 wins away from the Holly Grail and none of those 16 games will be played before 13-Apr-2011.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Sunday, February 13, 2011

With 26 Games to Go

13-Feb-11 @ 17:00

Today: we are 7 points up on Detroit for the conference lead. We are 2 points up on Philly, who have a game in hand, for the President's Trophy. If the playoff were to start today, we get Minnesota in first round and home ice advantage for as long as we stay alive in the playoffs.

The Canucks still have a mathematical potential to secure 133 points for the season which would still be a record for points in a single season.

We are 16 wins away from the Holly Grail and none of those 16 games will be played before 13-Apr-2011.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;

Former NHL Referee Lloyd Gilmour

I recently learnt with a measure of sadness of the passing, this past August, of former NHL Referee Lloyd Gilmour. Mr. Gilmour has a permanent place in both, the British Columbia Hockey Hall of Fame and the British Columbia Sports Hall of Fame. Below is the tribute as it appears on BC Hockey Hall of Fame:

"Referee Lloyd Gilmour saw a lot of changes during his almost two decades as an NHL official, in fact he played a direct role in a few of those changes. Born in Vancouver in 1928, Gilmour first dreamed about making it to the NHL as a player. His decision to become a referee came about by accident, literally. He was injured in a logging accident in the early 1950s, when he was a 19-year-old player in the New York Rangers' organization. Those injuries prevented him from pursuing a career as a player."

Gilmore started as a referee in the National Hockey League in the early 1960s. At that time the NHL was a six-team league, but growth was right around the corner. During his career Gilmour saw the league expand from the original six to eighteen teams. During his 19-year NHL career, Lloyd Gilmour was instrumental in development of protection for players involved in fights including promoting of the 'third man in' rule.

One of the highlights of Lloyd’s career was the now-infamous 1976 exhibition game between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Moscow Red Army team from the Soviet Union. After a hard but clean hit on Moscow star Valeri Kharlamov, with the game still scoreless, the Soviets left the ice for 15 minutes to protest the Gilmour non call. To add insult to the injury, Gilmore in response gave the Red Army a two minute penalty for delay of game. I believe that Lloyd was involved in the discussion, along with NHL President Clarence Campbell and Flyers owner Ed Snider, where the basic message to the Soviets was ‘finish the game or you do not get paid for the series.’ Gilmour's calls stood, the Red Army team returned to the ice, and the Flyers went on score on the power play and win the game 4-1.

At the time of his death Lloyd Gilmore was a resident of Nanaimo, British Columbia.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ; ;

Sunday, February 06, 2011

Which is the Best NHL Team?

After 53 games how good is this Canucks team? What do you measure against?

The best team ever, in the regular season, is arguably the Montreal Canadiens of ’76-77. That team only lost 8 games all season. They also had 12 ties for 60 wins in an eighty game season in an era when you didn’t get points for losing a shootout. Of the 160 points available to the Habs on day one of the ’96-97 season, they were able to pick up 82.5% of those points.

The team with the most single season wins ever is Detroit in ’95-96 with 62. Detroit tallied 131 points that season in which the league then played 82 games and awarded one point for a loss in overtime. Still no shootout. Detroit’s record was 62 wins, 13 losses and 7 ties. Of the 164 points available to the Wings on day one of the ’95-96, season they were able to pick up 79.9% of those points.

The most points your Canucks have ever earned is 105. This high was reached in ’06-07. At that time there were 82 games, points for overtime losses and points for shootout losses. Vancouver’s record was 49 wins, 26 outright losses, 3 overtime losses and 4 shootout losses. I’d call that 49 and 33.

With 29 games or 58 points remaining in the ’10-11 season, the Canucks could reach a theoretical max of 135 points if they were to win out. Totally unrealistic but would put the team in the discussion with the ’76-77 Habs and ’95-96 Wings.

To this point the team has been picking up 77.6% of the available points. This is 7% to 10% below the pace of the benchmarks set by the Habs and Wings. Unless this team was to tear up the rest of the season the discussions of best need to be shelved for a future campaign. Continuing on the current pace will put the Canucks at 119 points come season’s end. This would represent by far the highest point total by any version of the Canucks.

A few days back, I heard an interesting comment by an ex NHL’re with several cup rings. His comment was you do not go out and win a Stanley Cup. You position yourself so that the cup comes to you. We know that 96 points will get you to the post season dance. We also know that the combination of President’s trophy winners and Stanley Cup winner in the same year is more the exception than the rule. Teams that battle for the 6, 7 and 8 seeds in each Conference are often battle hardened for the second season. They already have the win at any cost mentality. Whereas President Trophy winners, with their playoff ducat punched early, often coast to the finish line resting key players. The occasional glimpse over at the other Conference to see where their President Trophy rivals are and the opps excuse me we won.

If the Canucks were to coast into the post season by playing .500 hockey from here on out their total would be 106 points. Interesting – one point better than the previous best. That version of the Canucks lost to the eventual cup winning Anaheim Ducklings in the second round.

Lots of possible outcomes are still in play for the ’10-11 season. This could be the best regular season team ever. This could be the best Canucks team ever. The lads could tank, Luongo or a Sedin could get injured; the team could struggle to 94 points and just miss the playoffs. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

The important facts of today are: we are 9 points up on Detroit for the conference lead. We are 2 points up on Philly for the Presidents Trophy. If the playoff were to start today, we get the LA Kings in first round and home ice advantage for as long as we stay alive in the playoffs. We are 16 wins away from the Holly Grail and none of those 16 games will be played before 13-Apr-2011. Enjoy the regular season success. The real proof of best is yet to come.

Ciao,


Tags: ; ;;;